{"id":9191,"date":"2025-01-09T07:48:30","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T12:48:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=9191"},"modified":"2025-01-09T07:48:30","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T12:48:30","slug":"venezuelas-ultimate-political-survivor-nicolas-maduro-faces-his-toughest-challenge-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=9191","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela\u2019s Ultimate Political Survivor Nicol\u00e1s Maduro Faces His Toughest Challenge Yet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/f5a1ea5\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/4442x2961+0+0\/resize\/1440x960!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F38%2F29%2F272417b6ebdd78248b3520f3ce23%2F34424502d2ec4c529b7c5732f76130ae\" width=\"1440\" height=\"960\"><\/p>\n<p>Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro is facing more international rebuke than at any time in his 12 years in power.<\/p>\n<p>The self-declared socialist is widely believed to have&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-maduro-machado-biden-gonzalez-a625eb01979bc9cf5570d03242f198b1\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">lost last year\u2019s election by a landslide<\/a><\/span>. That sparked criticism by the United States and others that the vote was&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-edmundo-gonzalez-white-house-maduro-election-3a80969382a3ee3c05f43bf6cefa987c\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">stolen<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;and forced Maduro to turn&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-crackdown-maduro-opposition-disputed-election-f59c93361b9b17e83c3af97ce0c7f275\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">to security forces<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;to repress and arrest opponents.<\/p>\n<p>Now he\u2019s set to be sworn in for a third term Friday, even as the&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-election-inauguration-kidnapping-gonzalez-maduro-ec86b4d13d107d1d2a92c5679da11025\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">opposition challenger<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;who claims to have won is vowing to return from exile by then.<\/p>\n<p>Maduro seems to have thrived on conflict since the&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/general-news-a98697ebc91a4e378643406dd4f1a2a3\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">late Hugo Ch\u00e1vez<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;passed the torch of his Bolivarian revolution to his loyal aide in 2012. The challenges have ranged from a&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/general-news-ba6e6ef53ea34030b1e1b4c5fca79a6d\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">drone attack<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/917130079\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">mass protests<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;over the collapse of the oil-rich economy to an&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-maduro-international-criminal-court-crackdown-343a1c90098910ae780b2637e7f222f0\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">international criminal investigation<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;for human rights abuses and a&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/caribbean-indictments-armed-forces-united-states-miami-d82797206561db03851e47df125c243f\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">$15 million U.S. bounty<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;tied to allegations of drug trafficking.<\/p>\n<p>The history of Latin America is full of strongmen who rode out disputed elections only to find themselves ousted in short order, from Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet\u2019s attempt to tamper with votes in a 1988 referendum to Peruvian leader Alberto Fujimori\u2019s constitutionally barred third term in 2000.<\/p>\n<p>Ahead is Maduro\u2019s toughest challenge yet \u2014 one that will determine the future of Venezuela\u2019s already debilitated democracy.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/b24dd5e\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/7670x5113+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F28%2Fbd%2F0e361426fc0500954e857deaa0cf%2Fbf6a43bd2f97406ca2a09d1d566ed4ed\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Members of government-backed militias pose with rifles prior to a march in Caracas, Venezuela, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025, days ahead of President Nicolas Maduro\u2019s inauguration for a third term. (AP Photo\/Matias Delacroix)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Baseball or politics?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A biopic produced for last year\u2019s campaign recounted how Maduro grew up in a working-class barrio of Caracas torn between his love of baseball and student activism.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMake a decision,\u201d a coach tells the teenage pitcher portraying Maduro in the movie. \u201cIt\u2019s either baseball or politics.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>In real life, after embracing his father\u2019s radical politics, Maduro was sent to communist Cuba in 1986 for a year of ideological instruction \u2014 his only studies after high school.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/7281d0b\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/6417x4278+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F30%2F1a%2Fc432283bb5cb723714d7901487bf%2F6f429cef48004e7bb1a7c7567339964b\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro flashes victory hand signs at supporters during a pro-government rally, in Caracas, Venezuela, Aug. 17, 2024. (AP Photo\/Cristian Hernandez, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Upon returning home, he found work as a bus driver and union organizer. He embraced Ch\u00e1vez after the then-army paratrooper in 1992 staged a failed coup against an unpopular austerity government. Around the same time he met his longtime partner, Cilia Flores, a lawyer for the jailed leader.<\/p>\n<p>After Ch\u00e1vez was freed and elected president in 1998, Maduro, a young lawmaker, helped push his agenda of redistributing the OPEC nation\u2019s oil wealth and political power.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/ac313ce\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/6071x4048+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F02%2Fd2%2Fe4aa4b37ebdb868e7d7c020552ef%2F619f4e1e960a4523835f015d9bd45f68\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Pro-government supporters rally for Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, in Caracas, Venezuela, Aug. 17, 2024. (AP Photo\/Cristian Hernandez, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>International recognition<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In 2006, Ch\u00e1vez appointed Maduro foreign minister, a recognition of his work smoothing over tensions with the U.S. following a short-lived coup. In that role, he spread Venezuela\u2019s petrodollars throughout the world, building alliances.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe was always very disciplined,\u201d said Vladimir Villegas, who has known Maduro since high school and served as his deputy foreign minister until breaking with Ch\u00e1vez.<\/p>\n<p>When Maduro took power in 2013 following his mentor\u2019s death from cancer, he struggled to bring order to the grief-stricken nation. Without \u201cEl Comandante\u201d in charge, the economy entered a death spiral \u2014 shrinking 71% from 2012 to 2020, with inflation topping 130,000% \u2014 and opponents and rivals inside the government smelled blood.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/8b1476c\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/4307x2871+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F32%2Fdc%2F10293484fe33afae25dbcf1340b4%2Ff790277ff2754beebbb2b65ff0cf0a37\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A supporter displays a poster of President Nicolas Maduro during his closing election campaign rally in Caracas, Venezuela, July 25, 2024. (AP Photo\/Fernando Vergara, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>He earned the nickname of \u201cMaburro\u201d among elites for folkish antics like claiming Ch\u00e1vez appeared to him as a \u201clittle bird.\u201d Less than a year into his accidental presidency, hardliner opponents launched demonstrations demanding his exit.<\/p>\n<p>Leaning heavily on the security forces, Maduro crushed the protests. But with supermarket shelves empty amid widespread shortages, they resumed with more intensity three years later, leaving more than 100 people dead. In 2018, the International Criminal Court initiated a criminal investigation into possible&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-icc-maduro-investigation-crackdown-protests-ede95f672a8531add93d97956818a98a\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">crimes against humanity<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>The crackdown continued into the 2018 presidential race, which the opposition boycotted when several of its leaders were barred from running. Dozens of countries led by the U.S. condemned Maduro\u2019s re-election as illegitimate and recognized Juan Guaid\u00f3, the head of the National Assembly, as Venezuela\u2019s elected&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-michael-pence-south-america-nicolas-maduro-0f0b41c178ea9ad04223a0a4eaeea18c\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">leader<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>More unrest ensued, this time bolstered by the Trump administration\u2019s \u201cmaximum pressure\u201d campaign of punishing oil sanctions. Then came a&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ap.org\/news-highlights\/best-of-the-week\/2020\/ex-green-beret-led-failed-venezuela-coup-plot\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">clandestine raid organized<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;by an ex U.S. Green Beret, a&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/779a723625d58303b7beff55ed85c4f5\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">barracks uprising<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;and finally the coronavirus&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/virus-outbreak-caracas-health-south-america-latin-america-5ae640105be95be1bf45071285008276\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">pandemic<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/8b0cdec\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/4692x3128+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F0e%2F21%2F0f24cc3277a5efc6de3ff1dca04d%2F38cab9d6233b4bdca125e00a5a0b3ba2\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Protesters clash with police during demonstrations against the official election results declaring President Nicolas Maduro\u2019s reelection, the day after the vote in Caracas, Venezuela, July 29, 2024. (AP Photo\/Matias Delacroix, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><strong>Defying the odds<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Somehow, after each crisis, Maduro emerged stronger, even if the country\u2019s problems deepened. By 2022, with his opponents vanquished, he took on a new nickname:&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/politics-venezuela-government-nicolas-maduro-united-states-b17ad7d7a217bd0be96ddc0f48aa02cd\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">Super Bigote,<\/a><\/span>&nbsp;a nod to his thick black mustache. It was also a tribute by supporters to his reputation for defying the odds.<\/p>\n<p>He entered the 2024 election with the same mindset, confident that opinion polls showing a groundswell of support for his previously unknown opponent, Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez, were a political weapon leveraged by his enemies and the U.S. to destabilize the country.<\/p>\n<p>Since claiming victory in the face of&nbsp;<span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link AnClick-LinkEnhancement\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/venezuela-election-tally-sheets-actas-oas-carter-center-41d1000926d0ab99e522e53bf6c2b916\" data-gtm-enhancement-style=\"LinkEnhancementA\">credible evidence of vote rigging<\/a><\/span>, Maduro has relied on the security forces to round up opponents. This week, Gonz\u00e1lez said his son-in-law was kidnapped by masked men. Carlos Correa, a prominent free speech attorney, was also hauled away by masked assailants. The government hasn\u2019t commented on either case.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/1bfa6f9\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/7373x4915+0+0\/resize\/1600x1066!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F8a%2Fc5%2F5cf49285d163df313f21bdb19f9d%2Fc83e61ec22d247d8bf571efb7c9392db\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1066\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Public workers hold rifles prior to a march of government-backed militias in Caracas, Venezuela, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025, days ahead of President Nicolas Maduro\u2019s inauguration for a third term. (AP Photo\/Matias Delacroix)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Michael Shifter, a former president of the Inter-American Dialogue in Washington, said such acts of repression may indicate weakness that could boomerang against Maduro.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe key is the armed forces,\u201d Shifter said, adding that the recent downfall of Syria\u2019s ruler, Bashar Assad, has renewed Venezuelans\u2019 hopes for change: \u201cThese regimes are very unpredictable and can fall any moment even if they appear quite strong. If it collapses, it will collapse internally.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>&nbsp;&#8211; AP News<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Venezuelan President Nicol\u00e1s Maduro is facing more international rebuke than at any time in his 12 years in power. The self-declared socialist is widely believed to have&nbsp;lost last year\u2019s election by a landslide. That sparked criticism by the United States and others that the vote was&nbsp;stolen&nbsp;and forced Maduro to turn&nbsp;to security forces&nbsp;to repress and arrest&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":124,"featured_media":9192,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/dims.apnews.com\/dims4\/default\/f5a1ea5\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/4442x2961+0+0\/resize\/1440x960!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fassets.apnews.com%2F38%2F29%2F272417b6ebdd78248b3520f3ce23%2F34424502d2ec4c529b7c5732f76130ae","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[192],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polity-governance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/124"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9191"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9191\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9193,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9191\/revisions\/9193"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9192"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}