{"id":6920,"date":"2019-08-12T20:33:05","date_gmt":"2019-08-13T00:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=6920"},"modified":"2019-08-12T20:33:05","modified_gmt":"2019-08-13T00:33:05","slug":"guatemalas-next-president-has-few-plans-for-fixing-rampant-corruption-crime-and-injustice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=6920","title":{"rendered":"Guatemala\u2019s Next President Has Few Plans for Fixing Rampant Corruption, Crime and Injustice"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure style=\"width: 2743px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/287713\/original\/file-20190812-71936-1wciere.jpg\" width=\"2743\" height=\"1760\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Alejandro Giammattei is a former prison official whose tenure was tainted by the 2006 mass killing of seven prisoners. He was accused but never indicted on conspiracy charges in those deaths. AP Photo\/ Santiago Billy<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Guatemala\u2019s next leader will be Alejandro Giammattei, a right-wing former national prison director.<\/p>\n<p>With 58% of votes, Giammettei <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prensalibre.com\/guatemala\/politica\/elecciones-2019-alejandro-giammattei-es-el-virtual-presidente-electo-de-guatemala\/\">beat former first lady Sandra Torres by 16 points<\/a> in the second round of Guatemala\u2019s election on Aug. 11. It was his fourth presidential bid.<\/p>\n<p>As a candidate, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prensalibre.com\/guatemala\/politica\/alejandro-giammattei-20-anos-de-un-candidato-itinerante\/\">Giammattei<\/a> spoke of creating jobs and fighting crime in the poor, violence-gripped Central American country. But his campaign offered few policy proposals beyond taking a hard line against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.insightcrime.org\/news\/analysis\/collaborators-guatemala-chained-ms13\/\">gangs like MS-13 that operate with impunity in Guatemala<\/a>, building new prisons and reimposing the death penalty.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2019\/aug\/12\/guatemala-elects-president-alejandro-giammattei-who-called-trump-immigration-deal-bad-news\">hasn\u2019t yet agreed to implement<\/a> Guatemala\u2019s controversial recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/politics\/2019\/07\/trump-guatemala-safe-third-country-asylum-morales-central-america\/\">agreement with the Trump administration<\/a> to stop Central American migrants from crossing through Guatemala.<\/p>\n<p>The 63-year-old Giammattei\u2019s base includes former military members, the far right, evangelicals and business leaders \u2013 essentially the same electorate that put outgoing President Jimmy Morales <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-latin-america-34632485\">in power<\/a>. But polling suggests Giammattei won primarily due to the extreme unpopularity of his opponent, who has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/06\/17\/world\/americas\/guatemala-election.html\">history of corruption allegations<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Guatemalans were deeply <a href=\"https:\/\/www.americasquarterly.org\/content\/challenges-facing-guatemalas-next-president\">unenthusiastic about both candidates<\/a>. Just 42% of registered voters voted, the lowest percentage since the country\u2019s civil war ended in 1996. Nearly 6% of them <a href=\"https:\/\/preliminares2019.tse.org.gt\/201902\/panel.html\">cast blank or spoiled ballots<\/a>, apparently in protest.<\/p>\n<p>Many Guatemalans <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/mundo\/noticias-america-latina-49292421\">expressed fear<\/a> that no matter who won the runoff, this election would mark the end of Guatemala\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/guatemala-expulsion-of-un-investigators-drags-country-down-authoritarian-path-102815\">decade-long fight to root out massive government corruption<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei is an ally of President Morales, who is under <a href=\"https:\/\/cnnespanol.cnn.com\/2019\/01\/07\/jimmy-morales-termina-el-acuerdo-de-guatemala-con-la-cicig\/\">investigation for campaign finance violations<\/a>. His inner circle of former generals and elite power brokers who have ruled the country for decades also backed the disgraced former President Otto P\u00e9rez Molina, who resigned amid scandal in 2015 and was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2015\/09\/04\/world\/americas\/otto-perez-molina-guatemalan-president-resigns-amid-scandal.html\">jailed hours later for corruption<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Justice no more<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As a longtime <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/abstract=3281991\">researcher on justice in post-civil war Guatemala<\/a>, I have grave concerns about Giammattei\u2019s commitment to restoring the rule of law.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei is closely associated with the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.revistafactum.com\/los-enemigos-de-la-cicig-van-por-la-presidencia-de-guatemala\/\">old military intelligence<\/a> groups that have dominated Guatemalan politics behind the scenes since its bloody, decades-long <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pri.org\/stories\/2016-12-29\/why-you-need-know-about-guatemalas-civil-war\">civil war<\/a> ended in the 1990s.<\/p>\n<p>His tenure as national director of prisons was tainted when seven inmates were killed <a href=\"https:\/\/nomada.gt\/pais\/elecciones-2019\/giammattei-20-anos-de-candidato-y-una-coleccion-de-criminales-cerca-suyo\/\">under suspicious circumstances<\/a> in 2006 at Guatemala\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/nomada.gt\/pais\/actualidad\/resumen-del-dia-pavon-o-de-como-una-carcel-salva-el-dia-a-los-corruptos\/\">notoriously lawless Pav\u00f3n prison<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>According to prosecutors, the killings were committed by a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cicig.org\/historial\/\/index.php?mact=News,cntnt01,detail,0&amp;cntnt01articleid=421&amp;cntnt01returnid=67\">prison death squad<\/a> that worked inside jails, with administrators\u2019 explicit approval, to exterminate the \u201cdregs\u201d of society and \u201cenemies of the state.\u201d Three of the killers were convicted of murder in Guatemala for the prison deaths.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei was charged with conspiracy but <a href=\"https:\/\/lahora.gt\/hemeroteca-lh\/caso-pavon-infiernito-mp-prepara-170-pruebas\/\">acquitted in 2013<\/a>. Last year a Swiss appeals court sentenced his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prensalibre.com\/guatemala\/politica\/erwin-sperisen-condena-suiza-muerte-reos-pavon-guatemala\/\">accused co-conspirator<\/a>, former police chief Edwin Sperisen, to 15 years in prison for the murders.<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1508px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/287715\/original\/file-20190812-71897-1sjivfn.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=501&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2\" width=\"1508\" height=\"1002\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">A spoiled ballot demonstrating voter rejection of both Guatemalan presidential candidates, Aug. 11, 2019. Reuters\/Luis Echeverria<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Giammattei was <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/corruption-triumphs-in-guatemalas-presidential-election-119076\">not expected<\/a> to become Guatemala\u2019s president.<\/p>\n<p>Early in the race the clear front-runner was Thelma Aldana, Guatemala\u2019s corruption-busting former attorney general. But in May she was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-guatemala-election\/guatemala-court-ruling-all-but-ends-ex-prosecutors-election-hopes-idUSKCN1SM05L\">barred from the race<\/a> for <a href=\"https:\/\/es.insightcrime.org\/noticias\/noticias-del-dia\/activista-contra-corrupcion-en-guatemala-enfrenta-orden-de-arresto\/\">alleged financial mismanagement<\/a>. That bumped Sandra Torres into first place, with Giammattei running a distant second.<\/p>\n<p>Many saw the ruling against Aldana as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prensalibre.com\/guatemala\/justicia\/mp-investigara-supuestos-sobornos-al-juez-victor-cruz-que-ordeno-la-captura-de-thelma-aldana\/\">politically motivated<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As attorney general from 2014 to 2018, Aldana worked closely with the United Nations-backed anti-corruption panel known as <a href=\"https:\/\/dppa.un.org\/en\/mission\/cicig\">CICIG<\/a>. Since its creation in 2007, CICIG has prosecuted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/the-economist-explains\/2018\/05\/18\/what-does-cicig-do\">three former presidents<\/a> and more than 600 other high-ranking officials in Guatemala for everything from money laundering and embezzlement to ties with organized crime.<\/p>\n<p>When <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/guatemala-in-crisis-after-president-bans-corruption-investigation-into-his-government-109864\">President Morales expelled its lead prosecutor<\/a> earlier this year, Aldana vocally protested. She has since fled the country after receiving death threats.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei says he will pursue the fight against <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/in-central-america-gangs-like-ms-13-are-bad-but-corrupt-politicians-may-be-worse-86113\">endemic corruption<\/a> but he opposes the CICIG, which supported his prosecution in the Pav\u00f3n Prison case. Despite <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cicig.org\/apoyo-ciudadano\/poblacion-guatemalteca-apoya-labor-de-la-cicig\/\">72% popular support<\/a>, the commission is now due to close in September.<\/p>\n<p>Giammattei has offered no concrete plan to continue cleaning up Guatemala\u2019s government. Without the CICIG\u2019s investigators and prosecutors, Giammattei is unlikely to pull the country out of the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/central-american-kids-come-to-the-us-fleeing-record-high-youth-murder-rates-at-home-99132\">morass of kleptocracy, violence<\/a> and extreme poverty that sends <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/forced-migration-from-central-america-5-essential-reads-98600\">thousands of desperate Guatemalans abroad each year<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Trouble ahead, trouble behind<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Through bribery, coercion and threat of violence, criminal cartels have <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/in-central-america-gangs-like-ms-13-are-bad-but-corrupt-politicians-may-be-worse-86113\">infiltrated Guatemala\u2019s government<\/a> over the last 20 years.<\/p>\n<p>A CICIG investigation found that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cicig.org\/uploads\/documents\/2015\/informe_financiamiento_politicagt.pdf\">half of political party financing<\/a> comes from organized crime and corruption. In Guatemala\u2019s Congress, dirty legislators known to be on the take are locally regarded as the \u201cPact of the Corrupt.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure style=\"width: 1508px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/287716\/original\/file-20190812-71897-hyjx3q.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=30&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;h=503&amp;fit=crop&amp;dpr=2\" width=\"1508\" height=\"1006\"><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Poll workers await voters in Chinautla, Guatemala, Aug. 11, 2019. AP Photo\/Oliver de Ros<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The largest bloc in the incoming Congress, which takes office Jan. 1, will be from Torres\u2019 National Unity of Hope party. Just 17 of 158 Guatemalan lawmakers belong to Giammattei\u2019s Vamos Party.<\/p>\n<p>A small bloc of legislators will come from a new center-left party called Semilla, or \u201cSeed,\u201d which nominated Aldana as its presidential candidate. Semilla\u2019s presence ensures Giammattei will have some vocal opposition in Congress.<\/p>\n<p>A conservative majority of lawmakers is expected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/the_americas\/an-amnesty-for-crimes-against-humanity-guatemalan-proposal-stirs-outrage\/2019\/02\/23\/bc0fe13e-3481-11e9-8375-e3dcf6b68558_story.html?noredirect=on\">to try again to pass a controversial amnesty law<\/a> that would pardon former military officials convicted of crimes against humanity during Guatemala\u2019s civil war and prevent those accused of human rights violations from being prosecuted.<\/p>\n<p>Given his military ties, Giammettei would likely sign such an amnesty bill into law.<\/p>\n<p>Guatemalan judges who, with the support of the CICIG, have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ijmonitor.org\/2018\/05\/four-retired-senior-military-officers-found-guilty-in-molina-theissen-case\/\">put former military officers and corrupt politicians in prison<\/a> have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cejil.org\/es\/csj-guatemala-debe-garantizar-independencia-del-juez-pablo-xitumul\">faced unfounded investigations<\/a> against them and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.latribuna.hn\/2019\/02\/11\/expertos-de-onu-destacan-mas-amenazas-a-jueces-en-guatemala-tras-fin-de-cicig\/\">threats to their safety<\/a>. So have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prensalibre.com\/guatemala\/comunitario\/los-riegos-de-los-defensores-de-derechos-humanos-persisten-en-guatemala-donde-cada-semana-mueren-dos-de-ellos\/\">human rights actvists and environmental defenders<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>These attacks on the rule of law in Guatemala would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/the_americas\/how-us-apathy-helped-kill-a-pioneering-anticorruption-campaign-in-guatemala\/2019\/06\/14\/cc4f464a-1e5e-11e9-a759-2b8541bbbe20_story.html\">ordinarily draw criticism from the United States<\/a>. Now they are met with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/daily-comment\/the-trump-administrations-self-defeating-policy-toward-the-guatemalan-elections\">silence<\/a>, both from the Trump administration and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/mundo\/noticias-america-latina-49290661\">Guatemala\u2019s new president-elect<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><em>This is an updated version of an <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/corruption-triumphs-in-guatemalas-presidential-election-119076\">article<\/a> original published on June 21, 2019.<\/em><\/p>\n[ <em>You\u2019re smart and curious about the world. So are The Conversation\u2019s authors and editors.<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/us\/newsletters?utm_source=TCUS&amp;utm_medium=inline-link&amp;utm_campaign=newsletter-text&amp;utm_content=youresmart\">You can read us daily by subscribing to our newsletter<\/a>. ]<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/121717\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\"><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/naomi-roht-arriaza-757331\">Naomi Roht-Arriaza<\/a>, Distinguished Professor of Law, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-california-hastings-2441\">University of California, Hastings<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Guatemala\u2019s next leader will be Alejandro Giammattei, a right-wing former national prison director. With 58% of votes, Giammettei beat former first lady Sandra Torres by 16 points in the second round of Guatemala\u2019s election on Aug. 11. It was his fourth presidential bid. As a candidate, Giammattei spoke of creating jobs and fighting crime in&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":124,"featured_media":7323,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"fifu_image_url":"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/287713\/original\/file-20190812-71936-1wciere.jpg","fifu_image_alt":"Guatemala\u2019s Next President Has Few Plans for Fixing Rampant Corruption, Crime and Injustice","footnotes":""},"categories":[192],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-polity-governance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/124"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6922,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6920\/revisions\/6922"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}