{"id":6431,"date":"2018-01-02T20:03:39","date_gmt":"2018-01-03T01:03:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=6431"},"modified":"2018-01-02T20:03:39","modified_gmt":"2018-01-03T01:03:39","slug":"how-trumps-nafta-renegotiations-could-help-mexican-workers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/?p=6431","title":{"rendered":"How Trump\u2019s NAFTA Renegotiations Could Help Mexican Workers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-6432\" src=\"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/081413_Immigrant_Farmer_16x9.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"860\" height=\"482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/081413_Immigrant_Farmer_16x9.jpg 860w, https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/081413_Immigrant_Farmer_16x9-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/081413_Immigrant_Farmer_16x9-768x430.jpg 768w, https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/081413_Immigrant_Farmer_16x9-527x295.jpg 527w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 860px) 100vw, 860px\" \/>Long before Donald Trump dubbed it \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/video\/2016\/09\/26\/trump-nafta-is-worst-trade-deal-ever-signed.html\">the worst trade deal ever signed<\/a>,\u201d the <a href=\"http:\/\/tcc.export.gov\/Trade_Agreements\/All_Trade_Agreements\/NorthAmericanFreeTA.asp\">North American Free Trade Agreement<\/a> had been portrayed as a threat to U.S. workers.<\/p>\n<p>In 1992, for example, independent presidential candidate Ross Perot <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/1992\/10\/16\/us\/the-1992-campaign-transcript-of-2d-tv-debate-between-bush-clinton-and-perot.html\">accused<\/a> Mexico of paying \u201ca dollar an hour for labor\u201d and warned that NAFTA would create a \u201cgiant sucking sound\u201d as investment went south of the border. And that\u2019s before NAFTA even came into effect, on Jan. 1, 1994.<\/p>\n<p>Fears that Mexico\u2019s allegedly substandard labor conditions have hurt American workers reached <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/trump-says-he-wants-to-kick-start-nafta-negotiations-1486056404\">new heights<\/a> under Trump, who has threatened to withdraw the U.S. from NAFTA if Mexico doesn\u2019t stop \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/trump-mexico-us-tax-take-advantage-2017-1\">taking advantage<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As a Mexican citizen, I find such rhetoric offensive. But as a human rights professor and lawyer, I also feel compelled to examine Mexico\u2019s record on labor rights. If Trump is right that Mexico doesn\u2019t respect workers\u2019 rights, then NAFTA\u2019s current renegotiation could be an opportunity to improve labor standards in my country \u2013 and help keep NAFTA alive in the process.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A failed experiment<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>From a strictly legal perspective, American notions about Mexico\u2019s bad working conditions are unsubstantiated. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.constituteproject.org\/constitution\/Mexico_2015.pdf?lang=en\">Article 123<\/a> of the Mexican Constitution grants workers the right to organize and strike, provides protections for women and children, mandates an eight-hour workday and establishes a national minimum wage.<\/p>\n<p>Mexicans <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eluniversal.com.mx\/articulo\/nacion\/politica\/2016\/12\/6\/declaran-al-2017-como-el-ano-del-centenario-de-la-constitucion\">take pride<\/a> in their 1917 constitution, which was the first in the world to include <a href=\"https:\/\/archivos.juridicas.unam.mx\/www\/bjv\/libros\/9\/4423\/12.pdf\">social rights<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, when NAFTA was in development, both the U.S. and Canada feared that free trade would lead working conditions in their countries to decline. So in 1993, the three North American governments signed a NAFTA side agreement, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/ilab\/reports\/pdf\/naalc.htm\">North American Agreement on Labor Cooperation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h6 class=\"align-center \"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/200041\/original\/file-20171219-4985-lcvo5u.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"><span class=\"caption\">NAFTA was controversial before then-President Bill Clinton signed it into law in 1993. Now it\u2019s up for renegotiation.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">AP Photo\/Doug Mills<\/span><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>The document dictates that certain labor rights \u2013 including freedom of association, collective bargaining and equal pay for men and women \u2013 must be respected in all NAFTA countries. It also prohibits forced labor and guarantees protections for migrant workers.<\/p>\n<p>In theory, these principles are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/ilab\/trade\/agreements\/naalcgd.htm\">enforced<\/a> cooperatively in each NAFTA signatory nation through intergovernmental consultations, independent evaluations and dispute settlement.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Workers left unprotected<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After two decades, however, the experiment on <a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com.au\/books\/about\/NAFTA_at_10.html?id=6uiFAAAAIAAJ&amp;redir_esc=y\">cross-border labor cooperaton<\/a> seems to me to have failed. It\u2019s mostly Mexican workers, though \u2013 not their American or Canadian counterparts \u2013 who have suffered from substandard working conditions south of the border.<\/p>\n<p>American manufacturing jobs <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.cberdata.org\/reports\/MfgReality.pdf\">have indeed decreased since 1994<\/a> \u2013 some 5.6 million of them disappeared between 2000 and 2010 alone \u2013 but estimates suggest that 87 percent were lost to automation rather than trade.<\/p>\n<h6 class=\"align-center \"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/200043\/original\/file-20171219-5004-1pe6vjl.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"\"><span class=\"caption\">President Donald Trump has pressured U.S. manufacturers like Carrier not to reduce costs by outsourcing jobs to Mexico.<\/span><br \/>\n<span class=\"attribution\"><span class=\"source\">AP Photo\/Evan Vucci<\/span><\/span><\/h6>\n<p>Meanwhile, Mexico\u2019s <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sat.gob.mx\/informacion_fiscal\/tablas_indicadores\/paginas\/salarios_minimos.aspx\">minimum wage<\/a> \u2013 currently 88.36 pesos a day, around US$4.60 \u2013 is <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/what-does-a-living-wage-look-like-in-mexico-67826\">not enough money<\/a> to buy what economists call the \u201cbasic basket of goods\u201d for a single worker \u2013 beans, tortillas, eggs, some meat \u2013 much less to support a family.<\/p>\n<p>In 1994, the minimum wage of <a href=\"http:\/\/salariominimo.com.mx\/salario-minimo-historico\/\">15.27 pesos<\/a> a day amounted to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com.au\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=1&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=0ahUKEwjvkJPbk5fYAhUElZQKHYxAAs4QFggnMAA&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.cefp.gob.mx%2Fintr%2Fe-stadisticas%2Festa34.xls&amp;usg=AOvVaw36vAm8lw0EBal5iwbEYEsj\">$4.92<\/a>. So, thanks to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.banxico.org.mx\/portal-inflacion\/inflacion.html\">inflation<\/a>, low-skill Mexican workers actually have less purchasing power than they did before NAFTA.<\/p>\n<p>For decades, separate and apart from NAFTA, the Mexican government has also been <a href=\"http:\/\/www.corteidh.or.cr\/tablas\/r26049.pdf\">violating<\/a> the constitutional rights of workers. Under the Revolutionary Institutional Party, which ruled Mexico uncontested for nearly the entire 20th century, <a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com.au\/books?id=8imQpwAACAAJ&amp;dq=graciela+bensusan&amp;hl=en&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=0ahUKEwjL68e-hIrYAhWLf7wKHTzYDXEQ6AEIMzAC\">federal officials exerted extensive power over labor unions<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Through an alliance with the <a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com.au\/books?id=nn5FAAAAYAAJ&amp;q=confederacion+trabajadores+mexico&amp;dq=confederacion+trabajadores+mexico&amp;hl=en&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=0ahUKEwivyZfM_YnYAhVFPrwKHXwmA10Q6AEISTAF\">Confederation of Mexican Workers<\/a>, a powerful group of unions, the PRI empowered labor bosses who supported its agenda, whether they <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/02\/27\/world\/americas\/leader-of-mexican-teachers-union-arrested.html\">represented union members well<\/a> or not. To marginalize more independent unions, it created a series of legal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nexos.com.mx\/?p=8382\">hoops<\/a> that few manage to actually jump through.<\/p>\n<p>This system <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thestar.com\/news\/gta\/2016\/05\/22\/inside-mexicos-ghost-unions.html\">hobbled collective bargaining<\/a> throughout the 20th century, <a href=\"https:\/\/books.google.com.au\/books?id=hy5Nv-uBfYAC&amp;printsec=frontcover&amp;dq=Graciela+Bensusan&amp;hl=en&amp;sa=X&amp;ved=0ahUKEwixk_ftg4rYAhUDWbwKHX1fDhsQ6AEIRDAF#v=onepage&amp;q&amp;f=false\">preventing labor rights from progressing apace with Mexico\u2019s economic growth<\/a>. When the opposition National Action Party finally wrested the presidency from the PRI in 2000, it did not tackle this problem.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, in 2012, <a href=\"http:\/\/dof.gob.mx\/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5280815&amp;fecha=30\/11\/2012\">Mexican labor law was actually reformed<\/a> to give employers more flexibility in determining working conditions.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Canada\u2019s solution<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Paradoxically, then, I believe NAFTA may have actually worsened working conditions in Mexico over the past quarter century. It incentivized businesses to invest in the country accompanied by a side agreement that did nothing to establish unified worker protections across the North America region.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past 23 years, workers in the U.S., Canada and Mexico have filed nearly 40 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dol.gov\/ilab\/trade\/agreements\/naalc.htm\">complaints<\/a> before national labor authorities, decrying union busting, shoddy health conditions and lax safety regulations. None has resulted in concrete action like legislative reform.<\/p>\n<p>Today, the failure to effectively address differing labor conditions in NAFTA countries has put the entire deal\u2019s future at risk.<\/p>\n<p>Unlike Trump, who wants to simply repeal NAFTA, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has proposed modernizing it by implementing <a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/3718194\/nafta-canada-trump-jobs-labour-standards\/\">strong and progressive labor standards<\/a> across North America.<\/p>\n<h6><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/j6YTvo6A0zI?wmode=transparent&amp;start=0\" width=\"440\" height=\"260\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><span class=\"caption\">Canada wants Mexico to respect collective bargaining.<\/span><\/h6>\n<p>Canadian officials reason that if Mexican unions gain more power, they could push wages up for the benefit of the entire North American region. In October, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/trudeau-senate-speech-1.4353088\">Trudeau called on the Mexican Senate<\/a> to bring <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/trudeau-senate-speech-1.4353088\">freedom of association and collective bargaining<\/a> in Mexico into compliance with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ilo.org\/dyn\/normlex\/en\/f?p=NORMLEXPUB:12100:0::NO::P12100_INSTRUMENT_ID:312232\">international labor standards<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Senators <a href=\"http:\/\/www.elfinanciero.com.mx\/mundo\/justin-trudeau-conquista-al-senado.html\">applauded<\/a> Trudeau\u2019s proposal, but business leaders not so much. Bosco de la Vega, president of the National Farming Council, retorted that improving <a href=\"http:\/\/www.excelsior.com.mx\/nacional\/2017\/09\/04\/1186039\">NAFTA<\/a> means more trade, not \u201cintervening in labor markets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>A regional problem<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>To my mind, the Canadian proposal is a sensible update for an old deal. In the long run, Mexico\u2019s economic growth will hinge on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ilo.org\/global\/statistics-and-databases\/research-and-databases\/kilm\/WCMS_422456\/lang--en\/index.htm\">sustainable business practices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>However, I disagree that Mexico\u2019s precarious working conditions are Mexico\u2019s problem to solve. The U.S., too, has seen the rewards of looking the other way on Mexican human rights.<\/p>\n<p>During Jimmy Carter\u2019s administration, the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/fas.org\/irp\/offdocs\/prm\/prm41.pdf\">was looking to invest in Mexico<\/a> \u2013 its \u201cmost promising new source of oil,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/archive\/politics\/1978\/12\/15\/us-study-eyes-better-ties-with-oil-rich-mexico\/8bcbd716-2747-4392-a298-a60db6636375\/?utm_term=.c1006add98e1\">according to an internal memo leaked to The Washington Post in December 1978<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The memo <a href=\"https:\/\/nsarchive2.gwu.edu\/NSAEBB\/NSAEBB89\/mexhr11.pdf\">acknowledged<\/a> that Mexico\u2019s human rights record left room for \u201csignificant improvement,\u201d citing the PRI government\u2019s tendency to persecute its opposition.<\/p>\n<p>To secure <a href=\"https:\/\/history.state.gov\/historicaldocuments\/frus1969-76v37\/d170\">privileged access<\/a> to Mexican oil resources, though, Carter officials <a href=\"https:\/\/nsarchive2.gwu.edu\/NSAEBB\/NSAEBB89\/mexhr11.pdf\">determined<\/a> that \u201cit would be ill-advised and counter-productive\u201d for the U.S. \u201cto take Mexico to task publicly for its violations of human rights.\u201d That assessment included unenforced workers\u2019 rights.<\/p>\n<p>A similar logic seems to have underpinned NAFTA. All three economies have <a href=\"http:\/\/faculty.som.yale.edu\/lorenzocaliendo\/ETWENAFTA.pdf\">generally benefited from the uptick in trade<\/a> between Canada, Mexico and the U.S., which <a href=\"https:\/\/fas.org\/sgp\/crs\/row\/R42965.pdf\">increased<\/a> from $290 billion in 1993 to over $1.1 trillion in 2016.<\/p>\n<p>Even the American industries hit hardest by job loss are among NAFTA\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/economics\/08\/north-american-free-trade-agreement.asp\">major beneficiaries<\/a>. For carmakers and textile manufacturers, access to cheap labor in Mexico brought the total price of many goods down while enabling them to keep some production \u2013 and thus some economic benefit \u2013 in the United States.<\/p>\n<p>This was crucial during the 2008 global recession. \u201cWithout the ability to move lower-wage jobs to Mexico,\u201d one economist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/03\/30\/business\/economy\/nafta-may-have-saved-many-autoworkers-jobs.html\">told The New York Times<\/a> in March 2016, \u201cwe would have lost the whole [auto] industry.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/86018\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\">So lax labor standards in Mexico are indeed a problem with NAFTA. But they are North America\u2019s problem to solve. With top trade officials reportedly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2017-10-17\/mexico-and-canada-reject-u-s-nafta-demands-as-talks-wrap-up\">sharply divided over what the goals of a renegotiated NAFTA should be<\/a>, perhaps higher labor standards for all workers is something all three countries could agree on. At the very least, it would be a trade battle worth having.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/luis-gomez-romero-140803\">Luis G\u00f3mez Romero<\/a>, Senior Lecturer in Human Rights, Constitutional Law and Legal Theory, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-wollongong-711\">University of Wollongong<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article was originally published on <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a>. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/how-trumps-nafta-renegotiations-could-help-mexican-workers-86018\">original article<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Long before Donald Trump dubbed it \u201cthe worst trade deal ever signed,\u201d the North American Free Trade Agreement had been portrayed as a threat to U.S. workers. In 1992, for example, independent presidential candidate Ross Perot accused Mexico of paying \u201ca dollar an hour for labor\u201d and warned that NAFTA would create a \u201cgiant sucking&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":124,"featured_media":6432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[189],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-borders-commerce"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6431","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/124"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6431"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6431\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6433,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6431\/revisions\/6433"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/latinamericasecurityreport.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}